Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.230769 0.266472 0.305675 0.351891 0.404861 0.463654 0.533842
2024-10-27 0.171424 0.216908 0.271356 0.341241 0.428473 0.533683 0.670150
2024-11-03 0.138862 0.191018 0.258560 0.352201 0.478432 0.642469 0.871619
2024-11-10 0.115031 0.170994 0.248933 0.364946 0.532775 0.766235 1.115130
2024-11-17 0.093169 0.148935 0.232061 0.364263 0.568445 0.870900 1.351867
2024-11-24 0.076190 0.130367 0.216411 0.361947 0.600776 0.975685 1.606936
2024-12-01 0.063392 0.115608 0.203602 0.361226 0.634871 1.088114 1.892569
2024-12-08 0.053786 0.104140 0.193839 0.363365 0.673504 1.213403 2.219559
2024-12-15 0.047015 0.096285 0.188731 0.372410 0.725216 1.368392 2.622327
2024-12-22 0.040191 0.086862 0.178894 0.370689 0.756568 1.491516 2.986895
2024-12-29 0.035694 0.081142 0.175033 0.379634 0.809455 1.662092 3.467034
2025-01-05 0.030613 0.073107 0.164963 0.373990 0.831866 1.776543 3.854142
2025-01-12 0.027258 0.068299 0.161004 0.381018 0.882867 1.958271 4.411965
2025-01-19 0.023168 0.060900 0.149953 0.370316 0.893538 2.057578 4.811694
2025-01-26 0.021138 0.058104 0.148980 0.382741 0.958779 2.285463 5.531222
2025-02-02 0.019444 0.055800 0.148757 0.396952 1.030735 2.539582 6.350933
2025-02-09 0.017232 0.051627 0.143080 0.396477 1.066822 2.715925 7.015315
2025-02-16 0.015246 0.047639 0.137116 0.394142 1.097819 2.884805 7.688271
2025-02-23 0.013596 0.044252 0.132120 0.393480 1.133108 3.069742 8.430737
2025-03-02 0.012266 0.041532 0.128465 0.395888 1.177171 3.283885 9.282428
2025-03-09 0.011329 0.039837 0.127456 0.405774 1.243922 3.567952 10.364618
2025-03-16 0.010157 0.037103 0.122805 0.403942 1.276687 3.765132 11.239548
2025-03-23 0.009424 0.035685 0.121959 0.413692 1.345589 4.073275 12.474107